Public methodology

Every number needs a type, date, and limitation

CreatorStats distinguishes measurements from estimates. The current financial dataset contains legacy editorial baselines without financial citations, so the product exposes deterministic low-confidence ranges instead of presenting those baselines as exact current facts.

Evidence hierarchy

Measurements and estimates are not interchangeable

Audience measurement

A count can be called an API measurement only when its captured timestamp, platform operation, channel identity, and field value are stored together. Official account links establish identity only.

Financial estimate

A financial value is always an estimate. A sourced estimate must have an as-of date and at least two financial sources; otherwise a legacy value remains model-only.

Financial model

Reproducing the current model-only band

Model version creatorstats-legacy-baseline-band-v1 wraps a legacy editorial baseline in a fixed uncertainty band. It does not infer assets, liabilities, private-company valuations, taxes, ownership percentages, or cash flow.

rangeLow  = round(legacyBaseline × 0.75)
rangeHigh = round(legacyBaseline × 1.25)
confidence = low
asOf = unknown

The band is a disclosure mechanism around weak legacy input—not proof that the true value lies inside it. The baseline itself is not displayed as an exact fact.

Audience freshness

A timestamp belongs to the field it measured

  • Legacy unverified: the stored count has no defensible capture date and receives unknown confidence.
  • API measurement: the value, captured timestamp, channel ID, provider, and operation are stored together.
  • No fake freshness: a build date, copyright year, or biography edit cannot refresh an audience or financial field.
  • YouTube rounding: public subscriber counts may be rounded by YouTube and retain that limitation.

Confidence

What each label means

Unknown
A legacy measurement without trustworthy capture metadata.
Low
The current model-only financial state. No field-level financial sources are stored.
Medium
Reserved for evidence-backed estimates that meet additional review criteria; not assigned by the legacy fallback.
High
Used for validated platform API measurements with capture provenance, not for private net-worth estimates.

Ranking policy

Midpoint ordering is navigation, not a verdict

Ranking pages order profiles by (rangeLow + rangeHigh) ÷ 2, with slug/name as a deterministic tie-breaker. The UI labels the order as modeled and preserves each range and confidence state.

Comparison policy

One pair, one canonical order

  • Creator slugs are sorted lexically, so A-vs-B and B-vs-A cannot remain separate indexable pages.
  • Reverse order, host, protocol, and trailing-slash variants consolidate in one permanent edge redirect while retaining the query string.
  • All 7,381 unordered pairs remain usable as tools, but only 25 curated pairs are indexable and included in the sitemap.
  • If financial ranges overlap, the product explicitly says there is no defensible winner.

History and corrections

Append verified observations; log corrections

New YouTube observations are appended only after a validated API response and only when a measured value or channel identity changes. Legacy net-worth history is not charted because its points lack source timestamps. Corrections should add evidence and a reason instead of silently rewriting the record.

Build gate

Invalid evidence blocks release

The validation command checks every profile, financial field, audience field, entity type, priority review, and append-only snapshot. A model-only field must have its version, range, low confidence, unknown date, limitations, and zero fabricated sources. A sourced financial estimate must carry a date and at least two financial sources.

npm run validate:data

Limitations

What CreatorStats cannot know

Public audience statistics do not reveal private ownership, debt, contracts, expenses, tax, liquidity, or household finances. CreatorStats estimates are not financial advice, credit assessments, or verified personal disclosures.